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One Simulation Gave Frightening News About a Pandemic

One Simulation Gave Frightening News About a Pandemic

Coronavirus Confirmed Cases Map

Fears of a global catastrophe are on the rise.

A recent outbreak has medical professionals around the globe on high alert.

And one simulation gave frightening news about a pandemic.

The coronavirus that originated in Wuhan, China has health officials all over the globe in a panic.

In a short amount of time, the coronavirus has ravaged China.

The number of confirmed cases has stretches into the thousands, and as many as 170 people have died from the illness.

Worse yet, the illness is spreading throughout Asia.

India and the Philippines just got their first confirmed cases, and America has experienced a handful of cases as well.

However, concerns could be even greater based on a simulation from October 2019 that concluded an unspecified coronavirus could kill 65 million people around the globe.

Eric Toner, a scientist at Johns Hopkins, came up with the simulation, and if his modeling is correct, this coronavirus could just be getting started.

Toner posited that the coronavirus would be resistant to antibiotics, deadlier than SARS, and as easy to transmit as the flu.

Toner’s simulation said the coronavirus would spread around the globe within six months, and kill 65 million people after one year.

In light of the panic, Johns Hopkins released a statement in hopes of allaying fears:

“In October 2019, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security hosted a pandemic tabletop exercise called Event 201 with partners, the World Economic Forum and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Recently, the Center for Health Security has received questions about whether that pandemic exercise predicted the current novel coronavirus outbreak in China.”

People can’t help but be freaked out by the simulation and the eerie parallels to what’s happening around the globe thus far.

The statement continued:

“To be clear, the Center for Health Security and partners did not make a prediction during our tabletop exercise. For the scenario, we modeled a fictional coronavirus pandemic, but we explicitly stated that it was not a prediction. Instead, the exercise served to highlight preparedness and response challenges that would likely arise in a very severe pandemic.”

While the simulation may not have been a prediction, the speed and lethality of the coronavirus is definitely a cause for concern.

Five cases have already cropped up in the United States across four different states.

Coronaviruses can lead to illnesses such as SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome), which is what happened roughly 17 years ago.

In the midst of the SARS scare, nearly 800 people died.

At that time, SARS had a mortality rate of 10%.

In a short amount of time, the current coronavirus has already claimed nearly 200 lives.

This latest virus hasn’t quite reached global pandemic levels yet, but if the trend continues, that’s what’s on the horizon.

The CDC (Centers for Disease Control) raised their travel health notice to level three, the most severe, meaning nonessential travel to China is strongly discouraged.

Now is the time to get proactive about preparing yourself for the challenges of a pandemic that could spread quickly.

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